Padova vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SAS
0 - 0
PAD
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PAD
3 - 1
CTT
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 0
PAD
51%
27%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PAD
0 - 1
ARZ
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 0
PAD
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PAV
0 - 1
RIM
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PIS
3 - 0
PAV
56%
24%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAV
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 1
CTT
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 0
PAV
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |