Padova vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
PAD
14%
23%
63%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 2
LEO
66%
22%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ABN
0 - 1
PAD
11%
22%
66%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 0
GER
68%
20%
11%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
GER
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ACL
1 - 1
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
0 - 2
ACL
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ACL
0 - 0
LEG
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ACL
2 - 1
UAR
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 2
ACL
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |