Lecco vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
PAL
2 - 3
LEC
37%
31%
32%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASS
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
LEC
3 - 1
USA
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
MES
2 - 0
LEC
45%
29%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
FCC
0 - 0
LEC
43%
30%
27%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 4
REG
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOV
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
NOV
3 - 0
POT
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
USA
1 - 1
NOV
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
NOV
0 - 0
PIS
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |