Lecco vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 1
LEC
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
OLG
67%
18%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 0
LEC
39%
22%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 3
LEV
84%
10%
5%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 1
LEC
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
ASS
18%
25%
57%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PER
3 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
DAR
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
DCA
46%
26%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |