Calasancio vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDF
2 - 2
CAL
68%
20%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
CAL
61%
22%
17%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
AGO
34%
27%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NAX
1 - 1
CAL
81%
14%
6%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
HAR
9%
18%
74%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 5
CLH
15%
22%
63%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
TED
46%
24%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 2
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
YAG
0 - 2
VIL
53%
23%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |