Calamocha vs Zuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
16º
7º
21
6º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 65 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 64 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 63 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 56 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 50 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 49 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 48 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 47 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 46 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 46 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 44 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 44 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 42 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 41 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 38 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 36 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 35 |
17º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 27 |
18º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HUE
0 - 1
CAL
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
FRA
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 0
CDE
19%
27%
54%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 0
CFB
42%
28%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZUE
1 - 1
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CFB
0 - 0
ZUE
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZUE
0 - 0
CFA
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AND
0 - 0
ZUE
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ZUE
1 - 1
ZAR
7%
15%
78%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +1 |