Calamocha vs Barbastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
14º
10º
51
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
BIN
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CFB
1 - 0
CAL
82%
14%
4%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
CUA
34%
26%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
EJE
15%
22%
63%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Barbastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BIN
0 - 2
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
ROB
36%
27%
37%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
HOS
20%
25%
55%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAS
33%
29%
38%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
BIN
2 - 1
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |