La Calamine vs Aywaille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
10º
8º
22
5º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 76 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 64 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 31 |
16º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 30 |
17º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 24 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
28% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calamine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MEU
2 - 1
LAC
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LAC
0 - 1
HBN
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LAL
0 - 1
LAC
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LAC
4 - 0
ENT
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RUH
2 - 4
LAC
10%
15%
76%
|
48 | 13 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Aywaille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AYW
1 - 2
SCH
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OST
2 - 1
AYW
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AYW
0 - 0
ACR
39%
23%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
AYW
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AYW
1 - 4
EYN
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |