Calais vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.3%
Win probability
0.14
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
0.2%
3-2
<0%
+1
2.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
0.2%
0
17.2%
80.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
25.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.1%
-1
28.5%
0-2
23.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
25.5%
0-3
14.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
0.4%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2002 |
CAL
0 - 1
VAL
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
CAN
3 - 1
CAL
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
CAL
3 - 0
NOI
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
CLE
3 - 0
CAL
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
RAC
0 - 0
CAL
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
AUX
2 - 1
NAN
54%
26%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
AUX
4 - 3
NIC
60%
24%
17%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
GLA
0 - 2
AUX
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
AUX
0 - 0
GIR
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |