Cailungo vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CAI
3 - 0
COS
45%
24%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FAE
1 - 0
CAI
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAI
1 - 2
MUR
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
DOM
0 - 3
CAI
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
14%
24%
62%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
PEN
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
VIR
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
TFI
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 1
SGI
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |