Cailungo vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 1
CAI
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COS
2 - 0
CAI
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TFI
3 - 1
CAI
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CAI
2 - 3
DOM
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TPE
3 - 0
CAI
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
TPE
4 - 0
VIR
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIR
2 - 1
FIO
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VIR
2 - 2
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
COS
2 - 3
VIR
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
FAE
0 - 1
VIR
29%
23%
48%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +2 |