Cailungo vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
COS
1 - 0
CAI
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 2
DOM
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
TFI
2 - 0
CAI
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 1
CAI
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 1
SGI
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 3
MUR
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MUR
5 - 0
SGI
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
COS
3 - 3
MUR
33%
24%
42%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DOM
1 - 0
MUR
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
2 - 2
JUV
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |