Cailungo vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
58.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAI
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 0
CAI
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
VIR
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAI
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
34%
26%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 3
FAE
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 1
SGI
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 2
TPE
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 2
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 1
LIB
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |