Cagliari vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
26.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1976 |
CAG
1 - 3
ACM
24%
28%
48%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAG
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 0
TOR
29%
31%
40%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1976 |
CAG
1 - 0
COM
56%
27%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1975 |
VER
2 - 1
CAG
55%
27%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1976 |
ASC
0 - 0
ROM
38%
32%
30%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
ROM
1 - 1
INT
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
NAP
2 - 1
ROM
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1976 |
ROM
0 - 1
JUV
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1975 |
BOL
2 - 1
ROM
60%
24%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |