Cagliari vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
CAG
1 - 1
BRE
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
CAG
1 - 0
USA
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAG
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
CAG
1 - 0
SSS
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
CAG
4 - 0
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PRO
0 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
29%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
PRO
2 - 0
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
USA
1 - 0
PRO
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
PRO
0 - 1
BRE
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 0
PRO
36%
30%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |