Cagliari vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
CAG
1 - 1
CAT
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAG
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
SAL
1 - 1
CAG
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
CAG
2 - 0
MOD
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
CAG
2 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAR
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
UNI
52%
22%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
PAR
3 - 0
TAR
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
SAL
2 - 3
PAR
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |