Cagliari vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAG
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
CAG
2 - 1
PAL
47%
23%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAG
67%
18%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
PAD
1 - 0
CAG
57%
22%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAR
43%
23%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
USA
1 - 1
MES
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
MES
2 - 0
ACM
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
MES
1 - 0
PAV
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
66%
20%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
MES
2 - 2
TRE
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |