Cagliari vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PAL
2 - 1
CAG
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAR
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CAG
2 - 1
NAP
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
REG
2 - 0
CAG
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
EMP
1 - 0
LAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
LAZ
2 - 1
SAM
57%
25%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 2
LAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
TOR
0 - 0
LAZ
25%
26%
48%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |