Cagliari vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAG
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAG
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
CAG
4 - 0
VNZ
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
CAG
1 - 0
FIO
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ROM
0 - 0
CAG
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
VNZ
1 - 1
LAZ
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SPA
40%
30%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
NAP
1 - 0
LAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
LAZ
0 - 2
LEC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
36%
29%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |