Serie B round 29

Cagliari vs Catanzaro analysis

Cagliari Catanzaro
58 ELO 59
-16.3% Tilt -16.1%
117º General ELO ranking 300º
17º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
49.7%
Cagliari
24.6%
Draw
25.6%
Catanzaro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
Cagliari
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.6%
Win probability
Catanzaro
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cagliari
+2%
+7%
Catanzaro

ELO progression

Cagliari
Catanzaro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cagliari
Cagliari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 1960
LEC
Lecco
0 - 0
Cagliari
CAG
69%
19%
12%
56 66 10 0
27 Mar. 1960
ACM
AC Marzotto
2 - 0
Cagliari
CAG
60%
23%
18%
57 60 3 -1
20 Mar. 1960
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 1
Modena
MOD
51%
25%
24%
57 59 2 0
13 Mar. 1960
CAG
Cagliari
2 - 2
Brescia
BRE
51%
26%
23%
57 60 3 0
06 Mar. 1960
CAT
Catania
0 - 0
Cagliari
CAG
62%
22%
16%
57 64 7 0

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 1960
REG
Reggiana
1 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
62%
21%
17%
61 64 3 0
27 Mar. 1960
FCC
Catanzaro
2 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
60%
22%
18%
60 60 0 +1
20 Mar. 1960
FCC
Catanzaro
0 - 0
AC Marzotto
ACM
62%
22%
17%
60 60 0 0
13 Mar. 1960
CAT
Catania
1 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
55%
24%
22%
60 64 4 0
06 Mar. 1960
MOD
Modena
1 - 1
Catanzaro
FCC
55%
23%
22%
60 62 2 0