Cagliari vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
20º
17º
16
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 86 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 83 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 76 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 73 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 72 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 70 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 69 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 54 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 53 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 48 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 47 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 42 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
19º
|
9 | 38 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 36 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 35 |
17º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 33 |
18º
|
18% | |
|
20º
|
8 | 31 |
19º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 30 |
20º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
31.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAG
0 - 4
NAP
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAG
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CAG
1 - 1
COM
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAG
0 - 0
ROM
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CAG
3 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EMP
0 - 0
JUV
16%
23%
60%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
EMP
66%
20%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ROM
1 - 2
EMP
74%
18%
8%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EMP
0 - 0
ASS
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EMP
4 - 1
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |