Cagliari vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
PAL
3 - 1
CAG
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
MES
3 - 0
CAG
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
CAG
1 - 1
NOV
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
CAG
1 - 1
NOV
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
BAR
2 - 1
TAR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
BAR
0 - 2
VNZ
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
BAR
3 - 0
ACP
66%
18%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
BAR
0 - 2
VNZ
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |