Cagliari vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
ACM
4 - 2
CAG
60%
21%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAG
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1983 |
CAG
1 - 2
ACM
43%
23%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
CAG
2 - 1
VER
60%
25%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
FCC
1 - 2
CAG
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
NAP
2 - 0
CES
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
CES
2 - 0
TOR
42%
31%
27%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1983 |
CES
1 - 0
NAP
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
UDI
3 - 1
CES
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
INT
3 - 1
CES
74%
18%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |