Cagliari vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 1
CAG
38%
33%
29%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
CAG
2 - 1
GEN
63%
21%
15%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 0
CAG
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
CAG
2 - 2
BRE
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 0
CAG
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 0
CES
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
CES
1 - 1
PIS
42%
30%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
GEN
4 - 2
CES
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
CES
0 - 0
BAR
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 1
CES
41%
32%
27%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |