Cagliari U18 vs Lazio U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
10º
6º
56
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAG
66%
18%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
CAG
5 - 3
TOR
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAG
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 2
ASR
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 2
CAG
65%
18%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LAZ
2 - 0
FIO
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
LAZ
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LAZ
2 - 1
SAS
61%
20%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
INT
2 - 1
LAZ
74%
14%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
ASR
2 - 1
LAZ
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |