Apertura Ascenso MX round 4

Cafetaleros vs Venados FC analysis

Cafetaleros Venados FC
63 ELO 59
0.2% Tilt 4.3%
2916º General ELO ranking 1628º
45º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
52.6%
Cafetaleros
24.7%
Draw
22.7%
Venados FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
Cafetaleros
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.7%
Win probability
Venados FC
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cafetaleros
-18%
+10%
Venados FC

ELO progression

Cafetaleros
Venados FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cafetaleros
Cafetaleros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2017
MUR
Murciélagos
3 - 0
Cafetaleros
CAF
32%
27%
41%
64 58 6 0
29 Jul. 2017
CAF
Cafetaleros
1 - 2
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
53%
25%
22%
65 61 4 -1
22 Jul. 2017
ATL
Atlante FC
4 - 1
Cafetaleros
CAF
45%
26%
29%
65 64 1 0
15 Apr. 2017
UAP
UAEM Potros
0 - 0
Cafetaleros
CAF
46%
26%
29%
64 63 1 +1
08 Apr. 2017
CAF
Cafetaleros
1 - 0
Lobos BUAP
LOB
40%
26%
34%
63 66 3 +1

Matches

Venados FC
Venados FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2017
MER
Venados FC
0 - 2
Dorados
DOR
38%
26%
36%
60 65 5 0
29 Jul. 2017
MUR
Murciélagos
0 - 1
Venados FC
MER
42%
27%
32%
59 58 1 +1
22 Jul. 2017
MER
Venados FC
1 - 2
Mineros de Zacatecas
ZAC
36%
26%
38%
59 65 6 0
15 Apr. 2017
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
0 - 0
Venados FC
MER
47%
26%
27%
58 60 2 +1
08 Apr. 2017
MER
Venados FC
0 - 2
FC Juárez
JUA
37%
29%
35%
59 68 9 -1