Cafetaleros vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
JUA
2 - 1
CAF
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAF
1 - 2
TEP
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 1
UAP
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LOB
2 - 1
CAF
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAF
2 - 0
TAM
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CIM
1 - 2
ZAC
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 1
CIM
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 2
CIM
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 3
ZAC
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
CIM
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |