Caersws vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
CAE
3 - 5
LLA
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
RHY
2 - 3
CAE
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
RHY
83%
11%
6%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 2
PEN
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 1
CAE
24%
23%
54%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
TNS
15%
21%
65%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
POR
4 - 1
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
LLA
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
RHA
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
POR
4 - 4
CEF
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |