Caersws vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
76.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAE
49%
24%
26%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 6
HOL
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
PRE
31%
22%
48%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 2
RHO
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
GFC
3 - 1
CAE
9%
13%
78%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
PEN
36%
26%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
TNS
6 - 2
FLI
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 1
FLI
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
RTW
1 - 3
FLI
12%
18%
70%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
BAL
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |