Caerau Ely vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAE
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
2 - 1
AAF
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BDG
2 - 1
CAE
29%
23%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
1 - 2
CWM
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 4
CAE
21%
21%
58%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
PON
1 - 0
BDG
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
PON
0 - 2
NWC
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
CAM
3 - 3
PON
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
PON
3 - 0
TAF
80%
13%
6%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PON
4 - 2
TRE
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |