Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-5
CP Cacereño vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
SDM
1 - 2
CPC
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
CPC
0 - 0
CDZ
82%
13%
5%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
LIN
4 - 2
CPC
70%
22%
8%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
CPC
2 - 0
IMP
90%
8%
2%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
ORI
1 - 1
CPC
64%
24%
12%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
UPL
3 - 2
LAR
60%
26%
14%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
SNT
3 - 0
UPL
36%
32%
32%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
UPL
1 - 0
SPB
66%
24%
11%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
ARO
2 - 1
UPL
13%
28%
59%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
UPL
2 - 1
CDO
30%
29%
41%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |