Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
CP Cacereño vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
SDF
0 - 0
CPC
57%
24%
20%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CPC
2 - 0
CDD
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
CPC
9%
18%
73%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CPC
3 - 2
EXT
61%
22%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
CPC
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
SDF
0 - 0
CPC
57%
24%
20%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
FLN
2 - 4
SDF
15%
23%
62%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SDF
5 - 0
CFP
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SDF
2 - 1
MUR
85%
12%
4%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
IBI
2 - 0
SDF
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -3 |