CP Cacereño vs Lorca Atlético CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
CPC
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CPC
0 - 0
CAD
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SEV
2 - 0
CPC
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CPC
2 - 1
CDB
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
CPC
63%
23%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Atlético CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 3
BAL
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BET
1 - 2
LOR
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 1
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
RJA
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |