CP Cacereño vs CD Atlético Paso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
10º
4º
6
17º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 70 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 66 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 65 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 61 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 56 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 55 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 55 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 48 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 46 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 44 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 44 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 42 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 42 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 36 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 30 |
16º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
6 | 26 |
17º
|
31.5% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 20 |
18º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
72% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 89% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
CPC
16%
24%
60%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CPC
3 - 0
CDM
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CPC
2 - 1
TAL
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CPC
0 - 0
CDG
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CDB
2 - 1
CPC
35%
27%
37%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Atlético Paso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 2
TAL
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAS
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 2
PAS
24%
27%
50%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UDI
1 - 1
PAS
14%
24%
62%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAS
0 - 1
CDT
44%
26%
31%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |