Carioca 1 Taça Guanabara round 6

Cabofriense vs Friburguense analysis

Cabofriense Friburguense
50 ELO 51
5.3% Tilt 7.2%
17274º General ELO ranking 17275º
435º Country ELO ranking 436º
ELO win probability
39.8%
Cabofriense
25.6%
Draw
34.5%
Friburguense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
Cabofriense
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.5%
Win probability
Friburguense
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cabofriense
-5%
-12%
Friburguense

ELO progression

Cabofriense
Friburguense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cabofriense
Cabofriense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2015
CAB
Cabofriense
2 - 0
Resende
RES
39%
27%
34%
47 54 7 0
12 Feb. 2015
FLA
Flamengo
5 - 1
Cabofriense
CAB
83%
13%
4%
48 82 34 -1
08 Feb. 2015
CAB
Cabofriense
1 - 3
Volta Redonda
VOL
38%
27%
36%
48 55 7 0
05 Feb. 2015
BOA
Boavista SC
1 - 1
Cabofriense
CAB
55%
23%
22%
48 53 5 0
01 Feb. 2015
CAB
Cabofriense
0 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
14%
21%
65%
49 77 28 -1

Matches

Friburguense
Friburguense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2015
FRI
Friburguense
0 - 3
Botafogo
BOT
17%
23%
61%
53 75 22 0
11 Feb. 2015
FRI
Friburguense
3 - 0
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
67%
20%
13%
53 42 11 0
08 Feb. 2015
BAR
Barra Mansa
1 - 2
Friburguense
FRI
26%
26%
49%
53 42 11 0
05 Feb. 2015
FRI
Friburguense
1 - 1
Macaé Esporte
MAC
38%
25%
37%
53 56 3 0
01 Feb. 2015
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
Friburguense
FRI
86%
10%
4%
53 83 30 0