Tigre vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
62.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SLO
2 - 1
TIG
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
TIG
2 - 2
NOB
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
GIM
0 - 2
TIG
60%
25%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
TIG
1 - 0
BAN
21%
29%
50%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
OLI
0 - 1
TIG
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 0
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
RIV
3 - 1
LAN
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 1
RIV
37%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
RIV
5 - 0
VEL
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
RIV
3 - 1
NOB
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |