San Juan de Aragón vs Racing de Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4º
12º
12º
4
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 23 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 20 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 20 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 18 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 17 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 14 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 14 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 11 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 8 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 8 |
12º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Juan de Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DEV
3 - 0
CAS
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 6
AFC
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MON
3 - 0
CAS
71%
18%
12%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 1
JAG
18%
25%
57%
|
22 | 76 | 54 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CFT
4 - 1
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Racing de Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MON
3 - 1
RVC
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
RVC
2 - 3
JAG
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ZIT
0 - 0
RVC
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RVC
3 - 1
PDC
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
RVC
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |