Rosario Central vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 0
CEN
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
DHA
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
INS
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
CEN
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
CER
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
JUN
0 - 3
PEÑ
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CSM
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |