Rosario Central vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
CAU
0 - 1
CEN
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
FER
75%
18%
8%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
3 - 1
BEL
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
CEN
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
SAR
62%
24%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 0
TIG
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 1
IND
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 1
ARS
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 2
BOC
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
BAN
4 - 1
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |