River Plate vs Sarm. Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
3 - 1
IND
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 5
RIV
19%
26%
55%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 2
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
RIV
36%
28%
37%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
RIV
4 - 1
SMA
72%
19%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 0
RAF
19%
25%
57%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 1
BUC
26%
29%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GYT
1 - 0
SAR
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
SMA
64%
24%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AHZ
0 - 0
SAR
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |