River Plate vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
EST
1 - 0
RIV
60%
20%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1976 |
RIV
4 - 1
GAL
89%
8%
3%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1976 |
RIV
2 - 1
POR
85%
11%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1976 |
POR
0 - 2
RIV
27%
25%
49%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1976 |
GAL
0 - 1
RIV
21%
24%
56%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
IND
1 - 1
CAU
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1975 |
CHA
1 - 4
IND
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
IND
2 - 1
JNJ
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1975 |
BAN
1 - 2
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
IND
0 - 1
CEN
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |