River Plate vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
IRV
74%
17%
10%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 2
RIV
31%
26%
43%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
BOC
60%
23%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
BAN
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
EST
24%
27%
49%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
EST
1 - 2
PLA
64%
22%
15%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GOD
1 - 2
EST
38%
28%
35%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GLP
0 - 0
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
NOB
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |