River Plate vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 0
ALI
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 3
TIG
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 2
RIV
33%
27%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
TAL
0 - 2
RIV
22%
26%
52%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 0
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
ARM
2 - 0
JUU
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
PUE
0 - 3
ARM
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
ARM
1 - 0
ARR
60%
22%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 0
ARM
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
ARM
3 - 1
LUG
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |