CA Neuville vs FC Libourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
12º
12º
57
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Neuville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CNF
1 - 2
LES
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
CNF
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
CNF
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NIO
4 - 0
CNF
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CNF
3 - 0
GUE
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
GUE
85%
11%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
POI
1 - 4
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 2
FCL
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
GDB
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 2
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |