Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOB
0 - 3
LAN
39%
29%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
LAN
4 - 0
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 0
SLO
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 0
LAN
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 0
EST
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 0
IQU
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 1
IND
59%
24%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ARG
0 - 1
VEL
28%
28%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
RAF
0 - 3
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |