Lanús vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
COL
1 - 4
LAN
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LAN
4 - 2
ATT
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 0
ARA
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
LAN
4 - 1
EQU
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 1
LAN
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
RIV
4 - 0
CAU
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
ARG
0 - 2
RIV
23%
25%
52%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 2
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARG
69%
20%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 1
VIL
92%
7%
2%
|
86 | 46 | 40 | 0 |