Boca Juniors vs Tiro Federal Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
QUI
0 - 4
BOC
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
BOC
5 - 1
CCP
60%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 0
RAC
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
CCP
2 - 2
BOC
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
GLP
0 - 2
BOC
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
TFE
1 - 1
OLI
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
IND
1 - 0
TFE
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
TFE
0 - 1
EST
21%
28%
51%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
VEL
1 - 0
TFE
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
TFE
0 - 2
ARS
20%
27%
52%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |