Boca Juniors vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
BOC
1 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
KOR
1 - 2
BOC
59%
24%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1995 |
BOC
1 - 2
OLI
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
BOC
0 - 0
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
SAO
1 - 1
SCI
66%
21%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
SAO
1 - 0
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1995 |
OLI
1 - 2
SAO
48%
28%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
CRI
0 - 1
SAO
35%
29%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
SAO
1 - 0
SPO
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |