Boca Juniors vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
BOC
3 - 1
NOB
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2006 |
BOC
2 - 1
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 1
BOC
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
BOC
3 - 2
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
BOC
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ARG
2 - 1
BEL
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
COL
3 - 1
ARG
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ARG
2 - 1
GIM
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
QUI
2 - 2
ARG
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ARG
1 - 2
ARS
40%
30%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |