Júpiter Leonés vs UD Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
9º
4º
43
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Júpiter Leonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 4
LEO
51%
24%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 3
SPB
20%
24%
55%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 2
UPL
11%
21%
69%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 3
CAB
58%
23%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LVC
1 - 0
LEO
49%
25%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STM
2 - 0
SDA
30%
25%
45%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
STM
0 - 1
SAL
21%
27%
52%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 4
STM
45%
24%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 6
STM
46%
25%
29%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STM
2 - 1
TOR
19%
24%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |